How AI Search Is Recommending Recruiting Agencies: Monthly Trends
This analysis is based on the source benchmark: Recruiting Agencies: 2026 AI Market Discovery Index
Key Takeaways
- Robert Half led recruiting agency recommendations in September 2026 with 46.7% coverage and the highest rank-one rate at 22.9%.
- Randstad remained second at 39.1% coverage and posted the largest top-3 gain, rising 5.7 points from July to 21.4%.
- Spencer Stuart and Heidrick & Struggles recorded the sharpest declines, falling 7.1 and 5.0 points from July 2026 baselines.
- August 2026's zero-coverage month appears to be a measurement anomaly, as all ten tracked brands returned to positive coverage in September.
Executive Summary
Robert Half leads the recruiting agencies category in September 2026 with 46.7% valid recommendation coverage, effectively unchanged from its 46.8% July 2026 baseline. Randstad holds second place at 39.1% coverage, up from 38.2% in July 2026, leaving a 7.6-point gap to the leader. The category has re-established a measurable hierarchy after August 2026, when every tracked brand recorded zero recommendation coverage.
Robert Half's rank-one recommendation rate reached 22.9% in September 2026, meaning it was the first-named agency in 141 of 617 qualified observations. Its top-3 rate of 31.6% (195 observations) also leads the category. Randstad posted the strongest upward movement among tracked brands on the top-3 metric, rising 5.7 points from 15.7% in July 2026 to 21.4% in September 2026, the largest top-3 gain among tracked brands this period.
The sharpest declines belong to two executive-search specialists. Spencer Stuart fell 7.1 points, from 21.5% coverage in July 2026 to 14.4% in September 2026, a significant drop. Heidrick & Struggles fell 5.0 points, from 19.8% to 14.8% over the same period, also significant. Both brands recovered from zero in August 2026, but neither regained its July 2026 position. August 2026's uniform zero-coverage result appears to have been a measurement-period anomaly rather than a lasting shift, as all ten brands re-entered the qualified set with positive coverage in September 2026.
The September 2026 collection began with 800 prompt-surface observations (510 unique questions) across the benchmark's defined AI/search surface universe. All 800 mentioned a tracked brand or competitor; 726 were relevant and 74 were irrelevant. The public metrics use the 617 qualified observations that survive both qualification stages. The July 2026 baseline began from 792 prompt-surface observations (514 unique questions), yielding 521 qualified observations after the same filtering.
AI recommendation trend
valid recommendation coverage, Jul 2026 to Sep 2026
- Robert Half46.7%
- Randstad39.1%
- Adecco33.9%
- Insight Global28.4%
- Korn Ferry26.9%
- ManpowerGroup24.3%
- Aerotek24.1%
- Kelly Services18.0%
- Heidrick & Struggles14.8%
- Spencer Stuart14.4%
Key Findings
Signal | September 2026 finding |
|---|---|
Category coverage leader | Robert Half at 46.7%, holding its July 2026 lead of 46.8% |
Largest coverage gainer | Randstad at 39.1%, a 0.9-point gain from July 2026 and a recovery from August 2026's zero-coverage reading |
Largest coverage decliner | Spencer Stuart down 7.1 points from July 2026's 21.5% to 14.4% |
Top-3 rate leader | Robert Half at 31.6%, with Randstad's 5.7-point rise to 21.4% the largest top-3 gain among tracked brands |
Rank-one concentration | Robert Half first-named in 141 of 617 observations (22.9%), the highest rank-one rate in the category |
Significant decliners | Spencer Stuart and Heidrick & Struggles, both down significantly from July 2026 baselines |
Benchmark Context
The report separates the raw collection universe from the qualified analysis set. Brand-level recommendation percentages are calculated within the qualified benchmark set.
Research stage | Jul 2026 | Sep 2026 | What it represents |
|---|---|---|---|
Source prompt-surface observations collected | 792 | 800 | Total prompts collected across the defined AI/search surface universe |
Unique questions | 514 | 510 | Distinct questions after de-duplication |
Brand / competitor mentions | 791 | 800 | Prompts mentioning a tracked brand or competitor |
Relevant prompts | 570 | 726 | Prompts relevant to the category |
Irrelevant prompts | 221 | 74 | Prompts not relevant to the category |
Qualified benchmark observations | 521 | 617 | Public denominator: observations surviving both qualification stages |
Qualified surface breadth | 6 | 6 | Canonical AI surface families with at least one qualified observation |
The August 2026 interim month recorded 791 source prompts (551 unique questions) yielding 579 qualified observations, but no brand-level recommendation signals. That month's results are treated as an instrument-level anomaly, not a competitive outcome, because all ten brands moved to zero coverage simultaneously and then recovered together in September 2026.
Benchmark-Level Metrics
Metric | Jul 2026 | Sep 2026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
Qualified observations | 521 | 617 | Up 96 |
Companies tracked | 10 | 10 | No change |
Recommendation-shaped answer share | 32.1% | 36.0% | Up 3.9 points |
Valid recommendation shortlist share | 56.0% | 57.7% | Up 1.7 points |
Category leader by coverage | Robert Half (46.8%) | Robert Half (46.7%) | Stable lead |
AI Recommendation Trend
The Category Re-Established Its Leadership Hierarchy With Robert Half and Randstad at the Front
The table below compares each tracked brand's valid recommendation coverage between the July 2026 baseline and the September 2026 report month.
Brand | Jul 2026 | Sep 2026 | Movement | Sep 2026 rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Adecco | 35.9% | 33.9% | Down 2.0 points | 3rd |
Aerotek | 24.8% | 24.1% | Down 0.7 points | 7th |
Heidrick & Struggles | 19.8% | 14.8% | Down 5.0 points | 9th |
Insight Global | 28.0% | 28.4% | Up 0.4 points | 4th |
Kelly Services | 19.4% | 18.0% | Down 1.4 points | 8th |
Korn Ferry | 31.7% | 26.9% | Down 4.8 points | 5th |
ManpowerGroup | 24.6% | 24.3% | Down 0.3 points | 6th |
Randstad | 38.2% | 39.1% | Up 0.9 points | 2nd |
Robert Half | 46.8% | 46.7% | Down 0.1 points | 1st |
Spencer Stuart | 21.5% | 14.4% | Down 7.1 points | 10th |
No brand exceeded normal month-to-month variation on the primary coverage metric relative to the July 2026 baseline, with the exception of the two significant decliners. The category-level recovery from August 2026 came from all ten brands simultaneously returning to measurable coverage, not from any single brand's outperformance.
What Changed This Month
Leader: Robert Half
Robert Half's 46.7% valid recommendation coverage in September 2026 effectively matches its July 2026 baseline of 46.8%, a decline of 0.1 points that falls within normal month-to-month variation. After recording no coverage in August 2026, Robert Half re-entered the qualified set with the strongest position in the category, ahead of Randstad by 7.6 points.
Robert Half's rank-one rate of 22.9% (141 observations) and top-3 rate of 31.6% (195 observations) both lead the category. Its raw mention presence rate, however, fell 6.6 points, from 70.6% in July 2026 to 64.0% in September 2026.
The distinction is between presence and recommendation. Robert Half's raw presence rate declined while its recommendation coverage held nearly steady, meaning that within the current dataset a smaller share of responses named Robert Half at all, but its position among the responses that did was largely unchanged.
Highest-priority diagnostic: Which prompts drove the 6.6-point presence decline, and did those prompts shift to competitors or to general, non-branded answers?
Notable decliner: Spencer Stuart
Spencer Stuart's 14.4% valid recommendation coverage in September 2026 is down 7.1 points from its 21.5% July 2026 baseline, a significant decline. The brand recorded 89 valid recommendations in 617 qualified observations. Its rank-one rate rose 1.4 points, from 0.2% in July 2026 to 1.6% (10 observations) in September 2026.
Spencer Stuart's raw presence rate fell 3.3 points to 28.7%, and its top-3 rate rose 1.2 points to 7.5%. The combination shows a brand appearing less often but being placed higher when it does appear.
Highest-priority diagnostic: Which July 2026 prompts produced Spencer Stuart's higher coverage, and which competitor captured those recommendation slots in September 2026?
Notable decliner: Heidrick & Struggles
Heidrick & Struggles recorded 14.8% valid recommendation coverage in September 2026, down 5.0 points from its 19.8% July 2026 baseline, a significant decline. The brand had 91 valid recommendations in 617 qualified observations. Its rank-one rate rose from 0.0% in July 2026 to 0.3% (2 observations) in September 2026.
Both Heidrick & Struggles and Spencer Stuart, the two executive-search specialist brands in the tracked set, declined significantly from July 2026 baselines while the broader staffing and workforce-solutions brands held steadier positions.
Highest-priority diagnostic: Does the shared decline point to a narrowing of AI recommendation credit for executive-search-specific queries, and which brands are absorbing those recommendations?
Widening gap: Randstad vs Spencer Stuart
The coverage gap between Randstad and Spencer Stuart widened from 16.7 points in July 2026 to 24.7 points in September 2026, an increase of 8.0 points. Randstad rose 0.9 points while Spencer Stuart fell 7.1 points, moving the two brands in opposite directions.
This pattern appears across multiple brand pairings rather than in a single brand relationship. The gap between Robert Half and Spencer Stuart widened by 7.0 points over the same period, and the gap between Insight Global and Spencer Stuart widened by 7.5 points.
Highest-priority diagnostic: Are the three widening gaps driven by Spencer Stuart's decline, the other brands' gains, or a combination of both?
Buyer-Intent Interpretation
Buyer-intent cluster | What it captures | Strategic question |
|---|---|---|
Brand Recommendation | Prompts that recommend a specific recruiting agency | Which agency did AI systems recommend most often in September 2026? Robert Half, per the benchmark. |
Pricing & Value | Prompts that discuss pricing, fees, or cost considerations | Were any pricing discussions captured? One pricing analysis observation was recorded in September 2026. |
Multi-Brand Comparison | Prompts that compare two or more recruiting agencies | Were any head-to-head comparisons rendered? 24 comparison analysis observations were recorded in September 2026. |
All 617 qualified observations in September 2026 fell into the brand recommendation class. The public benchmark confirms that the category's AI recommendations are heavily concentrated on naming specific agencies, with 177 recommendation shortlists and 146 ranked lists out of 617 observations. Pricing and comparison activity, while present, is too thin to support commercial conclusions. With one pricing analysis and 24 comparison analyses in the qualified set, the benchmark cannot yet answer questions about price, value, or systematic head-to-head evaluation of recruiting agencies.
Brand Opportunity Summary
Brand | Sep 2026 coverage | Current signal | Highest-priority diagnostic |
|---|---|---|---|
Adecco | 33.9% (209 of 617) | Stable, 3rd place | Which prompt segments drive Adecco's rank-one presence in 15 observations? |
Aerotek | 24.1% (149 of 617) | Stable, 7th place | Which evidence sources support Aerotek's top-3 placement in 82 observations? |
Heidrick & Struggles | 14.8% (91 of 617) | Significant decliner | Which competitor captured the recommendation slots Heidrick & Struggles held in July 2026? |
Insight Global | 28.4% (175 of 617) | Stable, 4th place | Which prompts produce Insight Global's top-3 appearances in 76 observations? |
Kelly Services | 18.0% (111 of 617) | Stable, 8th place | Which prompts yield Kelly Services' presence in 158 observations? |
Korn Ferry | 26.9% (166 of 617) | Stable, 5th place | Which queries drive Korn Ferry's rank-one rate of 7.6% (47 observations)? |
ManpowerGroup | 24.3% (150 of 617) | Stable, 6th place | Which prompts produce ManpowerGroup's top-3 rate of 10.4% (64 observations)? |
Randstad | 39.1% (241 of 617) | Stable, 2nd place | Which prompts drove the 5.7-point top-3 rate gain? |
Robert Half | 46.7% (288 of 617) | Stable leader | Which prompts drive the presence decline despite stable recommendation share? |
Spencer Stuart | 14.4% (89 of 617) | Significant decliner | Which competitor captured the recommendation slots Spencer Stuart held in July 2026? |
The benchmark identifies where attention is warranted; a company-level analysis is needed to explain why.
Evidence Behind the Benchmark
The aggregate metrics are built from prompt-level observations (query, surface, recommendation outcome, rank, sentiment, and citations where exposed). Company-level analysis can go deeper into prompt, competitor, surface, and evidence patterns. Source presence is not automatically treated as proof of causation.
About This Benchmark
This report is part of the LLM Authority Index AI Market Discovery research program.
- AI Industry Market Discovery
- AI Industry Market Discovery Methodology
- AI Industry Market Discovery Metrics
- AI Industry Market Discovery Standards
Report-Specific Interpretation Notes
- August 2026 recorded zero recommendation coverage across all ten tracked brands, followed by a full recovery in September 2026. This pattern is treated as a measurement-period difference rather than a competitive outcome; all brands returned to positive coverage simultaneously.
- The qualified denominator grew from 521 observations in July 2026 to 617 in September 2026, and the valid recommendation shortlist share rose 1.7 points, so the coverage percentages reflect a larger qualified set.
- Movement between months identifies changes worth investigating; it does not by itself establish the cause of those changes.
Next Step
The Public Benchmark Shows Where a Brand Is Winning or Losing. A Company-Level Audit Shows Why.
The aggregate percentages for September 2026 show Robert Half leading at 46.7%, Randstad closing at 39.1%, and two executive-search specialists declining significantly. But the questions beneath those percentages remain open. Which high-intent prompts is Robert Half winning, and which does it lose? Which competitor takes the recommendation when Spencer Stuart loses coverage? What attributes do AI systems associate with each agency, and which external sources shape those answers?
A company-specific AI visibility audit maps those prompt, surface, competitor, ranking, sentiment, and evidence-source patterns into a prioritized visibility strategy. Rather than waiting for the next monthly signal, an audit can identify which specific queries and surfaces drive recommendation outcomes and where each brand's coverage can be strengthened.
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